Since the 1960s, the entire foundation of modern corporate finance has relied on a single, elegant mathematical equation: The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). It calculates the exact expected return on an investment based on its inherent risk (Beta). There is only one problem: the formula assumes human beings are perfectly rational, emotionless calculating machines.
This highly technical financial reference deconstructs the arrogant mathematical purity of CAPM. By strictly defining "risk" as historical price variance, the model completely ignores the catastrophic realities of human behaviorâpanic, herd mentality, and irrational exuberance.
We explore how billions of dollars are managed by quantitative algorithms relying blindly on this theoretical equation. The book exposes the structural flaws that cause these models to spectacularly fail during severe market crashes, precisely when investors desperately need them the most.
Challenge the dogma of the financial establishment. A deep dive into the mathematical models that dictate global capital while actively ignoring the volatile reality of human fear.
Priced to Fail: The Arrogant Mathematics of the Capital Asset Pricing Model - Michael Richardson
Since the 1960s, the entire foundation of modern corporate finance has relied on a single, elegant mathematical equation: The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). It calculates the exact expected return on an investment based on its inherent risk (Beta). There is only one problem: the formula assumes human beings are perfectly rational, emotionless calculating machines.
This highly technical financial reference deconstructs the arrogant mathematical purity of CAPM. By strictly defining "risk" as historical price variance, the model completely ignores the catastrophic realities of human behaviorâpanic, herd mentality, and irrational exuberance.
We explore how billions of dollars are managed by quantitative algorithms relying blindly on this theoretical equation. The book exposes the structural flaws that cause these models to spectacularly fail during severe market crashes, precisely when investors desperately need them the most.
Challenge the dogma of the financial establishment. A deep dive into the mathematical models that dictate global capital while actively ignoring the volatile reality of human fear.